Monsanto Co. (NYSE: MON): Q4 Earnings Preview 2011

Monsanto Co. (NYSE: MON), the world's largest seed company, is scheduled to release fiscal fourth quarter earnings before the opening bell on Wednesday, October 5, 2011. Analysts, on average, expect the company to report a loss of 27 cents per share on revenue of $1.89 billion. In the year ago quarter, the company posted a loss of 9 cents per share on revenue of $1.95 billion.

Monsanto Company provides agricultural products for farmers in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, Seeds and Genomics, and Agricultural Productivity.

In the preceding fiscal second-quarter, the St. Louis, Missouri-based company's net income was $680 million, or $1.26 per share, compared to $384 million, or $0.70 per share, in the year-ago quarter. On an adjusted basis, the company earned $1.26 per share in the latest quarter. Revenue grew 21 percent to $3.59 billion from $2.96 billion in the same quarter last year. Analysts, on average, expected the company to report earnings of $1.10 per share on revenue of $3.36 billion.

At its last earnings call in June, Monsanto boosted its earnings guidance to a range of $2.82 to $2.86 per share from the prior range of $2.66 to $2.79 per share, and ongoing earnings guidance to a range of $2.84 to $2.88 per share from the prior range of $2.72 to $2.82 per share. Monsanto also lifted its outlook for free cash flow for the year to a range of $1.1 billion to $1.3 billion from the prior range of $900 million to $1.1 billion.

The company has been orchestrating a restructuring designed to move it away from its less profitable herbicide division and focus more on developing new strains of genetically engineered crops. Monsanto is creating a separate division for its struggling herbicide business to help stabilize and "better align spending and working capital needs" around the unit, which has been hurt by  generic competition and price pressure. The company now anticipates a steady-state gross profit contribution of $250 million to $300 million from the Roundup and other glyphosate-based herbicide business.

The company is now trying to spur growth by focusing on its seeds-and-traits business, positioning it for mid-teens earnings growth going forward. Corn seeds and traits contributed approximately 40.6% of total revenues in fiscal 2010. Monsanto also intends to increase corn plantation in Argentina, the world’s second-largest corn exporter, to 52%. However, Monsanto is also facing stiff competition in biotech seed market as its chief rival DuPont (NYSE:DD) is fast grabbing market share by offering products with fewer traits and at better prices.  Monsanto also faces foreign currency risk since a significant portion of its income comes from outside the U.S.

Broadly speaking, the agricultural sector has remained strong for the past few quarters as a result of strong pricing and robust demand. Farmers had been stingy during the previous year due to struggling crop prices. However, a recent drought in Russia has hurt wheat supplies, helping grain and oilseed prices grow. Also, the growing use of ethanol as a fuel has caused corn prices to skyrocket. These positive market conditions have once again enabled farmers to take the necessary steps to ensure they are receiving maximum crop yields.

Monsanto expects to increase prices for its key corn seed brand by 5% to 10% in 2012.The company anticipates farmers will shift to new, higher-yielding seeds.

Full Disclosure: None.

Micron Technology Inc. (NASDAQ: MU): Q4 Earnings Preview 2011

Micron Technology Inc. (NASDAQ: MU), the largest U.S. DRAM maker, is scheduled to release its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings after the closing bell on Thursday, September 29, 2011. Analysts, on average, expect the company to report earnings of 2 cents per share on revenue of $2.13 billion. In the year ago period, the company reported earnings of 32 cents per share on revenue of $2.49 billion.

Micron Technology, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and marketing of semiconductor devices worldwide.  Through its worldwide operations, Micron manufactures and markets a full range of DRAM, NAND and NOR flash memory, as well as other innovative memory technologies, packaging solutions and semiconductor systems for use in leading-edge computing, consumer, networking, embedded and mobile products. DRAM chips are a key component in personal computers, while NAND flash chips are critical to portable electronics.

In the preceding fiscal-third quarter, the Boise, Idaho-based company's net income was $75 million, or 7 cents per share, compared to $939 million, or 92 cents per share, in the year-ago quarter. Revenue fell 6.6% to $2.14 billion from $2.29 billion in the same quarter last year. Analysts, on average, expected the company to report earnings of 16 cents per share on revenue of $2.37 billion.

The company is in the midst of a technology and product portfolio expansion to exploit growth areas like smart phones, tablets, enterprise, and solid state drives. Micron is the only U.S.-based manufacturer of DRAM modules, the prices of which have been weakening because of concerns about oversupply and weak personal computer demand. Memory chips are subject to some of the most volatile swings in pricing in the semiconductor industry. They are considered commodities and companies compete fiercely on price. In 2010, DRAM accounted for about 60 percent of Micron's $8.48 billion annual sales. Sales of PCs have grown at a slower-than-expected pace in recent quarters, as some consumers worried about a tough economy held off on large purchases, while others chose Apple's (NASDAQ: AAPL) iPad and other tablets over laptops.

In August, the company said it could still be a couple of quarters before DRAM has reached its low. "We've been in decline on [average selling prices] in the DRAM business for quite some time," Chief Executive Steve Appleton said during an analyst meeting. "I can't tell you whether or not we're going to bottom right now or last for another quarter or two." Appleton said while Micron's stock currently is hurt by its ties to DRAM, investors eventually will realize the industry is better at managing supply and demand and down-cycles won't be as severe as they were in the past.

Despite the weakness in DRAM, Appleton said Micron has one of the strongest balance sheets in the memory industry and is well positioned to take advantage of rising demand for flash memory. He said the percentage of revenue Micron derives from flash surpassed DRAM for first time in the current quarter. With the noticeable downturn in the PC market and the DRAM chips that are used in them, many companies in the Memory Chips sector seem to be focusing more on flash memory chips used in smartphones and tablet devices. One of key drivers for NAND technology has been Apple's iPhone and iPad. Industry experts expect the trend to continue as Flash memory has set the industry standard for data storage on smartphones and other portable devices. Mobile phone analysts at Gartner project smartphone sales to reach roughly a billion units by 2015, providing the memory chip industry with significant growth opportunities going forward.

Appleton said further that Micron is confident in its strong patent portfolio, noting he has looked at the recent "IP frenzy with a little bit of interest but also some amusement."

Micron also has been involved in litigation, with a case involving Rambus Inc. (RMBS) currently being argued in court. Appleton said the trial should wrap up in the next month or two and then be turned over to the jury for deliberation.

Full Disclosure: None.

10 Reasons You Should Sell Apple Now


1. Steve Jobs, the man credited with turning Apple into one of the most industry-shaping companies, is no longer at the helm of Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL).

2. iPhone mania is showing signs of slowing down.

3. Competitors like Samsung are fast catching up.

4. Apple has enjoyed only a modest sucess in China.

5. The North American mobile phone market is nearing complete saturation.

6. Although iPhone 5 is all set to be a blockbuster, the expectations are way too high.

7. Apple is cutting orders to vendors in the supply chain for its iPad tablet computer, suggesting that demand for iPads is diminishing.

8. Amazon is expected to unveil a tablet computer soon that analysts say will seriously challenge Apple's market dominating iPad.

9. Apple is already too big, it can’t get any bigger.

10. Bad economy is hurting Apple's prospective customers.

Full Disclosure: None.
Shares of Research In Motion (NASDAQ: RIMM) soared moe than 6% on Tuesday on speculation that Carl Icahn could buy a stake in the company. The company's BlackBerry smartphones use wireless, push-based technology that delivers data to mobile users' business and consumer applications. Stay tuned for more.

Full Disclosure: None. 

InterDigital Spikes On Renewed Takeover Chatter

Shares of InterDigital, Inc. (NASDAQ: IDCC) surged more than 7% Wednesday after Reuters reported that Apple Inc (NASDAQ: AAPL), Nokia (NYSE: NOK) and Qualcomm Inc (NASDAQ: QCOM) are among several technology companies pondering bids for the company. The auction of the wireless telecoms specialist -- expected to be heavily contested as tech giants fight to shore up patent portfolios -- will be postponed from next week to after Labor Day, Reuters reported. Interdigital, Inc. engages in the design and development of digital wireless technology solutions. The company offers technology solutions for use in digital cellular and wireless products and networks, including 2G, 3G, 4G, and IEEE 802-related products and networks.Stay tuned for more.

Full Disclosure: None.

Shares of Eastman Kodak Co. (NYSE: EK) jumped more than 10% on Wednesday after Bloomberg reported that its patent portfolio could be worth five times more than its business. The digital-imaging patents owned by Kodak may now be worth $3 billion in a sale, according to MDB Capital Group, Bloomberg reported late Tuesday. Speculation around the value of its patents could make it a likely target in the recent intellectual property buying spree by technology companies. On July 20, Kodak said that it was exploring "opportunistic alternatives" for its digital-imaging patents, which represent about 10% of its total U.S. patent portfolio. Stay tuned for more.

Full Disclosure: None.

Kinetic Concepts Rallies On Speculation Of A Higher Bid




Shares of Kinetic Concepts Inc. (NYSE: KCI) rallied more than 3% Tuesday Bloomberg reported that the company could receive a higher takeover offer. Bain Capital LLC and Avista Capital Partners LLC are seeking to raise financing for a takeover offer for Kinetic Concepts Inc. that would top Apax Partners LLP’s $5 billion bid, Bloomberg reported, citing people familiar with the plan. Kinetic Concepts, Inc., a medical technology company, engages in the discovery, development, manufacture, marketing, rental, and sale of therapies and products for the advanced wound care, regenerative medicine, and therapeutic support system markets in the United States and internationally. Stay tuned for more.

Full Disclosure: None.
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